Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 520.945697 553.914048 588.168230 626.475500 668.192149 712.323999 762.644559
2026-01-18 476.548791 521.556814 570.168273 626.783030 691.170254 762.427996 847.681433
2026-01-25 447.236995 500.755276 560.368958 632.119417 716.698771 813.932081 935.189158
2026-02-01 424.669193 484.623017 553.161571 638.006321 741.184139 863.852604 1022.654680
2026-02-08 406.774947 471.914082 548.083954 644.745674 765.616853 913.780185 1112.338078
2026-02-15 388.845713 457.537911 539.446021 645.667302 781.806372 953.319200 1190.527376
2026-02-22 373.112566 444.586321 531.312622 646.007284 796.354721 990.630490 1267.393724
2026-03-01 360.552640 434.642011 526.010150 649.080111 813.880106 1032.060563 1351.939937
2026-03-08 347.515833 423.266792 518.041640 647.821146 824.996442 1064.837458 1425.992443
2026-03-15 336.574261 413.925445 512.027010 648.480471 838.248047 1100.727301 1506.458518
2026-03-22 326.199218 404.755900 505.646007 648.037582 849.535612 1133.989377 1584.881926
2026-03-29 316.763320 396.343777 499.763714 647.753811 860.678496 1167.236418 1665.227203
2026-04-05 309.345488 390.299021 496.754588 651.220541 877.237867 1209.272848 1762.537342
2026-04-12 301.227269 382.942564 491.564071 651.195106 888.435107 1243.572408 1849.700813
2026-04-19 295.557810 378.652647 490.335357 656.639022 907.828836 1291.338764 1962.774132
2026-04-26 290.482823 374.943159 489.683835 662.748319 928.341555 1341.853124 2084.560689
2026-05-03 286.025840 371.886763 489.756792 669.797657 950.481856 1396.111133 2217.461006
2026-05-10 279.934749 366.294075 485.942465 670.746792 962.919705 1434.989759 2325.721261
2026-05-17 274.010226 360.718611 481.906162 671.094432 974.260210 1472.498621 2434.504996
2026-05-24 269.254885 356.637749 479.857506 674.322960 990.291974 1518.800527 2564.147911
2026-05-31 263.447257 350.842566 475.054334 672.995727 998.631930 1552.049268 2671.030616
2026-06-07 258.494408 346.125480 471.663183 673.688343 1010.266126 1591.680098 2794.366124
2026-06-14 253.467248 341.139529 467.679883 673.221718 1019.809733 1627.972302 2914.151123